Zum weiteren Ablauf in den offenen Staaten. Kann sich noch ziehen:
Quelle: 538
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020…sults-coverage/
Where The Presidential Race And Outstanding Vote Stands … For Now
Readers, we’re going slowing our coverage as the election at this point is far from over. Biden leads in the electoral vote count, 227 to 213, but no candidate has a lock on 270 yet, and multiple paths exist for both Biden and Trump.
There are a number of projections in key battleground states we’re missing, including Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Maine, North Carolina and Georgia, and we likely won’t have projections there until early today — or later this week.
So we’d caution you at this point to not jump to any conclusions. We can say that Democrats did not have the evening they wanted in the Senate (see Nathaniel’s recap of the Senate races below) and that while Democrats maintained their majority in the House, they do not seem to have gained seats; instead Republicans made inroads, picking up districts like South Carolina’s 1st District, New Mexico’s 2nd District and Oklahoma’s 5th District, per the AP. And Collin Peterson, who was the most vulnerable incumbent in the House, has also lost in Minnesota’s 7th District, per ABC News.
But at this point, keep in mind that both Trump and Biden have multiple paths to the White House — and much hinges on Pennsylvania, the state our forecast puts as the most likely tipping-point state (or the state that delivers the 270th electoral vote). We’ll be back in a few hours, as we continue to track the vote.
Here’s a look at what we know about the outstanding vote in each battleground state:
- Arizona: While some outlets, such as the Associated Press, have projected Arizona for Biden, ABC News has not. Before the election, officials did warn that any super-close races might not be resolved until the last votes are counted on Thursday or Friday. However, the race isn’t that close right now (Biden 52 percent, Trump 47 percent), so we might see a projection sooner.
- Wisconsin: 81 percent of the expected vote is already reporting here, and the rest should trickle in over the next few hours. Earlier tonight, Milwaukee County (expected to be among the last places to finish counting) said to expect semi-final results around 6 a.m. Eastern.
- Georgia: The big holdup here is Fulton County, which as of 2 a.m. was home to most of the outstanding ballots. The count there was delayed by a burst pipe (no ballots were damaged), and election officials told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution their goal was to go into Wednesday with just 20,000 ballots left to count. However, the secretary of state estimated those results would not be released until the afternoon.
- Michigan: There are still hundreds of thousands of absentee ballots to be counted here, and it’s unclear if counting will continue throughout the night. Election officials did say earlier on Tuesday that they expected counting to wrap up by Wednesday night.
- Pennsylvania: Major counties such as Philadelphia and Allegheny have reported their last ballots of the night (although Philadelphia will continue to count around the clock). Going into the election, many county and state election officials predicted that results wouldn’t approach completion until Friday.
- North Carolina: 95 percent of the expected vote has already been counted here, so it seems quite possible that all we’re waiting on are late-arriving mail-in ballots, which have until Nov. 12 to arrive. That means we could be waiting over a week for a call here.
- Maine: Honestly, this is anyone’s guess. Election officials are taking much longer here than they originally expected.
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